onsdag den 7. oktober 2009

“The best things in life are unexpected - because there were no expectations”

Market had chance of a 'correction Tuesday but going into the close it looks like another up day....

The strategy for the balance of this week is pretty simple:
S&P futures above 1040-00/1041-00 you are long...below you cut: http://img35.yfrog.com/i/h5f.gif/

Alcoa came out beating top- and bottom line (
http://tinyurl.com/yadf3y5) - setting the pace the next 48 hours?

http://stocktwits.com/t/AA (Stock twitter - flow/and latest news)

The Alcoa chart looks pretty much like the S&P - an upward channel with potential break to the topside..: http://www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=AA

NOW the disclaimers:

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/10/consumer-credit-declines-sharply-in.html and Dow Theory also looks like it sending out clear signal of potential divergence as DOW Transport is NOT close to making new highs....: http://img251.yfrog.com/i/6zq.gif/


Core long equity (with time stop around middle of next week latest)Sceptical on fixed income - more and more focus on China waning trade surplus...

US dollar weakness (but it seems Trichet was "pounding the table" about the weak US Dollar over the week-end, but I will dare him to "frank & honest" in the ECB press conference...so... fade the Trichet comment ....sell US Dollars....

Long commodities..

Safe trading


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